Final result — 5 October 2026
Italy 3 — Türkiye 1
Original pick: Italy to win. Won. Settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Checked and updated on 6 October 2026. Result verification source
Italy vs Türkiye: our recommendation
Pick: Italy to win · Reference odds: 1.40 · Kick-off: 18:45 UTC, 5 October 2026.
Italy won the reverse meeting 4–1. Türkiye have lost all three group matches, which gives the hosts a clear form advantage. Italy also held France to a 1–1 draw in their latest group outing.
We prefer the straightforward home win. Italy do not need to win by several goals for this market to succeed, and the shorter price makes adding extra conditions unnecessary. Türkiye can still threaten on the counterattack; an away goal or a drawn game remains the key risk.
Market and match details
UEFA Nations League, Group A1. The selection is settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Only a win by the named team wins the pick; a draw or opposing win loses it.
Red Tip is the site’s recommendation category. Fixture and recent results: UEFA. Reference odds: Betfred, checked 5 October 2026. Prices are indicative and can change.